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Weather Outlook

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Coyote Wash Weather Station

Date & Time:  11/26/2014 8:26 AM MST
Forecaster:  Henz, D.


The second half of the holiday week is upon us and the forecast can’t get much better for late November. High pressure will continue to strengthen across southern CA today and then shift east into AZ tomorrow lending to a major warming trend over the next few days. Forecast highs will rebound into the mid 70s today before peaking in the 80s on Thanksgiving and likely continuing into Friday. Quiet weather will persist over the weekend before big changes to the forecast arrive early next week. From all of us here at the District, have a happy and safe Thanksgiving!


Clear and sunny skies remain in the forecast for today. Afternoon high temperatures will see a boost climbing into the 74˚F-77˚F range around the Valley with low 70s over higher terrain locales. Variable winds will generally remain in the 3-7mph range with no gusts of any consequence. Overnight low temperatures will bottom out into the low 50s around the Valley with outlying communities falling into the upper to mid 40s under clear skies.


The Thanksgiving forecast is looking downright perfect with high pressure centered over the region. Daytime highs will see another jump into the low to mid 80s around the Valley under sunny skies. Morning breezy east winds with gusts around 10-15mph range (focused over eastern portions of the county) will ease back into the light category by early afternoon. Similar conditions are expected on Friday, perfect for getting a jump start on holiday shopping. Looking ahead to the weekend, warm and mainly clear conditions will continue Saturday and Sunday with temperatures leveling off in the upper 70s. It’s worth noting that long range models are calling for a potent winter weather disturbance to move through the region next Tuesday potentially bringing a major cool down and our best chances for rain since October.



TABLE 1: Precipitation Forecast by Zone

Forecast Zone

2pm-Noon Chance of Measureable Rain (%)

Prime Time for Heaviest Rain

Maximum Prime Time Rainfall (inches)

Storms Currently Observed (X)

Gila Bend





Palo Verde





Rainbow Valley





West Valley





Northwest Valley





Upper Centennial










New River/Cave Cr





Sycamore Creek





Phoenix North





Phoenix South





Scottsdale North





Scottsdale South





Southeast Valley





Lwr. Salt R. Lakes